PAST MONTHS

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The Battle of Oklahoma will take place at Lloyd Noble Center at noon EST. In the L10 meetings between these teams the home team has covered in 8 of them and the Cowboys don't fare well on the road (4-8 ATS) and are (0-4 ATS) when the line is +6 or lower. Take Oklahoma at home to win this game by a few possessions.

Pick: OKLAHOMA -3.5

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Eastern Kentucky will host 16-12 Bellarmine at 1 EST. E. Kent is a poor (1-4 ATS) in their L5 games vs winning teams and are (1-4 ATS) off a conference loss. The line favors Bellarmine by 1 and they are (4-1 ATS) when the line is +3 to -3 on the road while E. Kent is (0-6 ATS) in tight lined contests. Bellarmine is also (4-1 ATS) as a road favorite.

Pick: BELLARMINE -1

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CAL Baptist will take on Utah Valley with both teams coming off one days rest. This is a key stat for today's game since Utah Valley is a perfect (6-0 ATS) on one days rest with an average cover margin of (+9.75) while CAL BAP is (1-4 ATS) on short rest. CAL BAP just beat Dixie State 71-61 but are (3-10 ATS) following a SU win. 

Pick: UTAH VALLEY -6

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Samford will travel to UT-Chattanooga for a 4 EST start. Samford is coming off an upset win over Furman but are (1-4 ATS) following an upset win this year and are (1-9 ATS) in their L10 games as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points. The Mocs lost the first meeting 80-72 as 7 point favorites which puts them in a system of teams revenging a SU loss as a 7+ point favorite facing an opponent off 2+ consecutive home wins (50-22 ATS).

Pick: UT-CHATTANOOGA -8.5

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Stony brook will welcome Albany for a 6:30 EST start. Albany comes into this game winners of 3 straight while Stony brook is off B2B losses. Albany has thrived as road dogs (11-3 ATS) and are (6-0 ATS) when listed at +6 or lower. They also fall in a (71.4%) system of road teams off a close win with the line at +3 to -3 and give up 63-67 PPG facing an opponent who allows 74-78 PPG in the 2H of the season (45-18 ATS) since ‘97 and are (16-4 ATS) over the L3 years.

Pick: ALBANY +2.5

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25-2 Arizona Wildcats will head to Colorado to take on the 18-10 Buffaloes at 8 EST. Arizona won by 21 in the first meeting but I expect this game to be within single digits since underdogs 10 to 19.5 points off an upset loss by 15+ facing an opponent off a road win (52-16 ATS). take the contrarian side in this one and fade #2 ranked Arizona.

Pick: COLORADO +10

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UMKC will host South Dakota State at 8 EST. South Dakota stomped UMKC in their first meeting 89-57 which puts this game in a system when the line is 150 to 159.5 and a team is revenging a 30+ point loss and their opponent is off a game where the total score was 150 or higher (27-6 UNDER). South Dakota is also (6-1 UNDER) following a road game where both teams scored 75+ points. Take the UNDER

Pick: UNDER 151

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11-13 Penn State will host 13-13 Northwestern at 7 EST. 9 of Penn State's 11 wins have come at home and are (5-0 ATS) in their L5 home games. The Wildcats have not fared well in these tight lined contests (1-4 ATS) when the line is +3 to -3 and Penn State has won 4 of the L5 meetings. Take Penn State to keep up their winning ways at home tonight in Happy Valley.

Pick: PENN ST -1.5

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12-10 Harvard will take on 19-5 Princeton at 7 EST. Harvard comes into this one off B2B home games which makes this a pure fade on them since they are (0-9 ATS) off B2B home games and (5-14 ATS) following 2+ wins. Look for Princeton's offense to be too much for Harvard as this game could get out of hand, lay the points.

Pick: PRINCETON -7.5 

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Both teams come into this game at 18-10 where Oakland will host IPFW. at 7 EST. The Mastodons have been hot winning 7 straight games while Oakland is 2-5 with 4 of those loses coming as favorites which they are tonight. Oakland is also (0-5 ATS) in their L5 games following a SU loss and (0-5 ATS) vs a winning opposition. In the first meeting between these teams Oakland won 76-68 but IPFW in revenge games are (6-2 ATS) and are (4-0 ATS) following 2 consecutive road games. This line favors Oakland by 6 but IPFW has covered 21 of their L30 games as 3.5 to 6.5 point road dogs, grab the points.

Pick: IPFW +6

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 20-4 North Texas will host 6-21 southern Miss at 8 EST. North Texas is favored by 20 in this one but we will lay all those points since N. Texas is (7-0 ATS) as home favorites of 12.5 or more and are coming off an upset win over UAB which bodes well since they are (8-1 ATS) following an upset win. Southern Miss ranks #337 in DEF efficiency so the Mean Green should be able to put the ball in the hoop at will and on the other end of the court N. Texas is holding opponents under 53 PPG at home. Take North Texas to dominate in this one.

Pick: NORTH TEXAS -20

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Long Beach State was rolling in conference play until they got upset on Saturday by USCB 84-71 which now brings their conf record to 11-2 but off that loss I expect them to bounce back big since they have covered 6 of their L7 off a double digit loss. UCSD has struggled on the road (3-10 SU/ 4-9 ATS) and are just (2-7 ATS) as a road dog. These teams met in late January and Long Beach State smoked them 87-69 on the road so I expect the same kind of beatdown tonight on their home court.

Pick: LONG BEACH ST -8

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 22-3 Providence will host 17-9 Xavier for a 7 EST matchup. The Friars are favored by 1 point but were going to take them on the ML at (-115) since this looks to be a close game but Providence is one of the best teams in tight games since they are (10-1 SU) in games decided by 5 points or fewer with multiple by just 1 point this season. Providence squeaked out a win over Butler on the road 71-70 without starting guard Al Durham who is one of their leading scorers so with him back tonight expect their offense to be in sync. Xavier is (8-14 SU) in their L22 when the line is +3 to -3. Take Providence at home.

Pick: PROVIDENCE ML -115

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9-19 Holy Cross will host 18-11 Colgate at 7 EST. This will be the 8th straight game where Colgate is favored by double digits over Holy Cross but for good reason since Colgate has won by an average of (+20.6 PPG) in the L7 meetings. Holy Cross is (3-6 ATS) in home games and (2-8 ATS) if they lost 3 of their L4 games. Colgate ranks #9 in 3P% hitting at a 39.0% clip while Holy cross ranks #309 in defending the three so as long as Colgate isn't ice cold from deep they should roll in this one. Lay the points.

Pick: COLGATE -12.5

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21-4 Colorado State will take on 22-4 Wyoming at 9 EST. We will grab the points with Wyoming in this one getting +6.5 as I see this being a one possession game that could go either way. The Rams are (4-4 ATS) in their L8 games vs winning teams while Wyoming is (5-1 ATS) and are (6-1 ATS) as a road dog. The Rams just got smoked 72-51 vs UNLV which doesn't fare well for them since they are (2-8 ATS) in their L10 off a double digit loss. Wyoming is (5-1 ATS) in the L6 meetings vs Colorado State, grab the 6.5 points with the Cowboys in this one.

Pick: WYOMING +6.5

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7-19 Northeastern Huskies will host 14-12 College of Charleston at 7 EST. The Huskies are just 1-14 SU in Conference games and are 1 point dogs at home today but are (1-4 ATS) when the line is +3 to -3. The Huskies also fall in a bad (35.9%) system of underdogs revenging a SU loss where they allowed 75+ points and are off 3 consecutive road losses (66-118 ATS) L5 seasons. Charleston is coming off a loss to Towson but are (4-1 ATS) in their L5 games following a loss. As long as Charleston competes on the glass against Northeastern's tall lineup they should win this game easily.

Pick: COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON -1

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 Texas Tech will be looking for revenge tonight since they lost 70-55 @ OKLA earlier this month but the Red Raiders were 2-17 from deep while Oklahoma hit almost 50%. Texas Tech is a perfect (6-0 ATS) in revenge games this season and (5-0 ATS) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. Oklahoma is (3-7 ATS) vs .600 to .800 opponents and are a much different team on the road 4-8 SU & (2-5 ATS) in their L7.

Pick: TEXAS TECH -9.5

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17-6 San Diego State will travel to 21-6 Boise State for a rematch of one of the lowest scoring games all year where Boise won 42-37 @ SDSU. Both defenses rank in the top 10 but Boise is far and away the better team on offense and playing on their home court tonight should result in a few possession win. The Broncos also have the advantage on the glass which is key in a game with a lot of missed shots. Boise is (5-0 ATS) vs .600 or better opponents this season and (23-6-1 ATS) in their L30. Lay the short number with the Broncos at home.

Pick: BOISE ST -2