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The Buffalo Bills will go into Arrowhead Stadium for a rematch of last year's AFC Championship. I believe the Bills have what it takes to win it all this year and this game is just a bump in the road for them. The Chiefs fall in a bad playoff system of home favorites of 0.5 to 2 points in the postseason are (5-16 ATS) since 2005 and are (3-11 ATS) since 2010. The Chiefs have attempted 40+ passes in their L2 games but are (1-9 ATS) in that situation since Mahomes joined the Chiefs a few years back. These teams met in October where Buffalo won 38-20 but Andy Reid is a wallet busting (2-14 ATS) when revenging a loss and is listed as a 4 point favorite or less and is (2-6 ATS) revenging a loss of 14+. Take the Bills + the points for 200 UNITS and on the ML for 100 UNITS as I see them advancing to take on the Bengals in the AFC Championship.
Pick: BUF BILLS +1.5