© William Purnell-USA TODAY Sports
8-3 North Texas will host 12-3 UAB for a conference matchup. North Texas has been a good cover team going (23-13 ATS) over the L2 seasons and I believe they're in another good spot today. North Texas is (3-1 ATS) this season when playing a team with a .600 win percentage or higher and (4-0 ATS) vs teams that score 77+ PPG. UAB falls in a bad system of road teams after 3 straight wins by 10+ points and average 76+ PPG facing a defense that allows 63 or less PPG (71-128 ATS) since ‘97.
Pick: N. TEXAS -2