© Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports
The New England Patriots will head to Buffalo to take on the Bills for an AFC East matchup on Monday Night Football. The Patriots are holding teams to 15.8 PPG but QB Josh Allen tends to play well vs top tier defenses going (8-1 ATS) vs defenses allowing 12.5 to 18.5 PPG. The New England Patriots have won and covered 6 straight games but fall in a small system of road teams coming off 5+ ATS wins following a conference blowout win by 21-24 points (2-5 ATS). The Bills are (12-5 ATS) in games where the line is +3 to -3 and are (15-4 ATS) in the 2H of the season with Josh Allen as QB. The Bills are also playing on 10 days rest since their last game was on Thanksgiving. Play on the BUFFALO BILLS - the points.
Pick: BUF BILLS -2.5