© Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports
At 8:10 EST the Royals will host the Red Sox with Nick Pivetta and Kris Bubic getting the starts. Pivetta hasn't been good this season (8-8, 4.47) but is (6-1) when he faces teams who average 0.9 HR’s/ game or less which the Royals do. Bubic is one of the worst advanced metric pitchers this season ranking in the bottom 5% in Hard Hit%, xwOPA, xERA and chase rate. Boston is (17-8) L25 vs L-H starters and fall in a *(91.9%) system* of road favorites -125 or more with a slugging% under .370 over their L15 games in the month of August (34-3) and (24-2) over the L3 seasons. Take the Red Sox ML.
Pick: BOS RED SOX -135